Celtics vs.  Warriors NBA Finals Game 4 Picks, Betting Odds: Expect Boston Stephen Curry and Co.

Celtics vs. Warriors NBA Finals Game 4 Picks, Betting Odds: Expect Boston Stephen Curry and Co.

Celtics vs.  Warriors NBA Finals Game 4 Picks, Betting Odds: Expect Boston Stephen Curry and Co.

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With the 2021-22 NBA regular season in the books, the basketball betting market is hotter than ever. CBS Sports offers daily picks throughout the postseason. Sam Quinn will make at least one pick for every game between now and the NBA Finals. All lines courtesy of Caesars Sportsbook.

Featured game Boston Celtics vs. Golden State Warriors

The number I can’t get over right now is that Stephen Curry has assisted nearly 48 percent of his shots in the regular season, but only about 27 percent is assisted on this series. The Celtics have done such a great job taking down Golden State’s off-ball moves that Curry’s only constant form of attack is Curry playing one-on-one. And hey, Stephen Curry is pretty good at playing one-on-one…but he’s 6-2 and 34 years old. That he’s playing one-on-one and let’s say LeBron James playing one-on-one are very different things. As great as Curry has played this postseason, he still doesn’t have a 40 point game. Jimmy Butler had four because his size allowed him to make layups and free throws in ways Curry just can’t. The 47-point game Curry played against the Raptors in the 2019 Finals was an outlier. He’s not equipped to be the ultimate attack, but without Golden State’s system that generates the easy buckets it usually does, the responsibility falls on his teammates to make their own shots to support him. None of them have been able to do that. Until they do, I’ll choose Boston. The choice: Celtics -4

All of the above applies to the Golden State violation. The Boston attack is trickier. Jaylen Brown appears to have cracked the Draymond Green code in Game 3…but Jayson Tatum shoots below 34 percent of the field in this series and grabs his shoulder early in Game 3. He has made up for his inefficient scoring in many other ways, but if the Warriors don’t trust him to score as easily as he otherwise would, they could divert the defensive focus and make everyone else’s lives harder. I want to see Tatum play offensively at his typical level before picking someone else in this series. The choice: under 214

I can’t believe I’m going to do this, but… I think Draymond Green is about to get back on the attack. He skipped the shot in Game 2. In Game 1, he missed 10 shots… but if you try 12 over the course of a game, it’s very hard not to score eight points. He went over eight points in five of his six previous matches for the final. When you handle the ball as much as he does and you play against a team as prone to change as Boston is, it’s so easy to get away with two random points per quarter. That’s all Green has to do. The choice: Green more than 7.5 points

I don’t think Tatum’s 13 assists in Game 1 were that durable, but I see no reason why he can’t repeat his nine assists in Game 3. Golden State traps him quite often and he has grown enough as a passer-by to take advantage of that. Tatum has played 41 or more minutes in 14 playoff games and provided six assists in nine of those games. As long as this game is competitive, Tatum should pass the ball enough to rack up a decent number of assists. The choice: Tatum more than 5.5 assists

Andrew Wiggins has eight combined steals and blocks in this series so far, and it’s a matchup that’s well suited for him to rack up defensive stats. The Celtics are notoriously sloppy with the ball, and it’s not like he’s blocking players he has a huge height advantage over. He knocked away Brown’s jersey twice. Given his athleticism, size and general activity, this line just feels a little low. The choice: Wiggins more than 1.5 steals and blocks combined